Pandemic Curves (until 8 June)

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Which countries have successfully "flattened the curve"?

Updated Monday, 8 June 2020, 1:05 pm (GMT+8)

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Methodology

  • Data smoothed using a 5-day moving average algorithm.
  • Daily new cases (per million) represents new cases per day per million of the total population in the country. This takes into account case density which we believe is more representative in comparing the severity of the outbreaks across countries.
 
3 distinguishing categories are used:
 
Under Control
  1. Daily new cases (per million) for the past 7 days must be less than 10% of the peak daily new cases (per million).
  2. Daily new cases (per million) for the past 7 days must be less than 10 per million.
 
Good Progress
  1. Daily new cases (per million) for the past 7 days must be less than 50% of the peak daily new cases (per million).
  2. Daily new cases (per million) for the past 7 days must be less than 50 per million.

 

Struggling

  1. All the rest that do not satisfy the conditions for the above 2 categories.
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